Saturday, September 29, 2012

Week Four Picks

Power Rankings


1. Houston (3)
2. San Francisco (1)
3. Baltimore (4)
4. New York Giants (7)
5. Atlanta (5)
6. New England (8)
7. Green Bay (2)
8. Chicago (10)
9. Denver (6)
10. Pittsburgh (9)
11. Seattle (16)
12. Buffalo (21)
13. Dallas (13)
14. Arizona (26)           
15. Philadelphia (12)
16. Detroit (11)
17. Minnesota (27)
18. Kansas City (23)
19. Tampa Bay (17)
20. San Diego (20)
21. Cincinnati (24)
22. Carolina (18)
23. St Louis (22)
24. Washington (14)
25. New York Jets (15)
26. New Orleans (19)
27. Jacksonville (25)
28. Indianapolis (28)
29. Tennessee (29)
30. Oakland (32)
31. Miami (31)
32. Cleveland (30)


Week Four Picks


Really Like:
CHIEFS +1.5 over Chargers

Like:
CARDINALS -4.5 over Dolphins

If forced to choose:
RAMS +3 over Seahawks
Browns +11.5 over RAVENS $
JAGUARS +1 over Bengals
Giants +2.5 over EAGLES
BUCS -2 over Redskins
LIONS -4 over Vikings
JETS +4 over Niners
Raiders +7 over BRONCOS
COWBOYS -3.5 over Bears
BILLS +3.5 over Patriots
Saints +7.5 over PACKERS
Panthers +7 over FALCONS
Titans +11.5 over TEXANS

Lock season record: 1-0
Really like season record: 0-2
Like season record: 3-3
If forced to choose season record: 22-16-1
All games season record: 26-21-1

Wednesday, September 26, 2012

The Great Sin

In Ethiopia I read a book called Mere Christianity by C.S. Lewis. Not everything Lewis wrote resonated with me, but the chapter on Pride may have been the most important thing I've ever read. It struck me so that I spent days writing an epic post about it, longer than anything I've ever written for this blog. Ironically, I decided to delete it because it was so bombastic. In its place, here is what Lewis had to say about Pride.

Saturday, September 22, 2012

Week Three Picks



Power Rankings

1. San Francisco (2)
2. Green Bay (3)
3. Houston (12)
4. Baltimore (8)
5. Atlanta (6)
6. Denver (4)
7. New York Giants (10)
8. New England (1)
9. Pittsburgh (9)
10. Chicago (5)
11. Philadelphia (17)
12. Detroit (11)
13. Dallas (7)
14. New York Jets (16)
15. Seattle (24)
16. Washington (13)
17. Tampa Bay (18)
18. Carolina (19)
19. New Orleans (14)
20. San Diego (22)
21. Buffalo (20)
22. St Louis (23)
23. Kansas City (15)
24. Cincinnati (26)
25. Jacksonville (21)
26. Arizona (27)
27. Minnesota (25)
28. Indianapolis (28)
29. Tennessee (29)
30. Cleveland (32)
31. Miami (31)
32. Oakland (30)


 Week Three Picks


Lock:
Jets -1 over DOLPHINS

Really Like:
REDSKINS -3 over Bengals

Like:
BRONCOS +2 over Texans
Bills -2.5 over BROWNS

If forced to choose:

Bucs +8 over COWBOYS
BEARS -7 over Rams 
Packers -3 over SEAHAWKS
TITANS +4 over Lions
Falcons +3 over CHARGERS
Steelers -3.5 over RAIDERS
Jaguars +3 over COLTS 
VIKINGS +6.5 over Niners
Patriots +2 over RAVENS  
Chiefs +8.5 over SAINTS
Giants +2.5 over PANTHERS $
Eagles -3 over CARDINALS

Lock season record: 0-0
Really like season record: 0-1
Like season record: 2-2
If forced to choose season record: 13-13-1
All games season record: 15-16-1

Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Top Ten States


10. Hawaii
9. New York
8. Montana
7. California
6. Utah
5. Alaska
4. Oregon
3. Washington
2. North Carolina
1. Colorado

Tuesday, September 18, 2012

Top Ten Tom Petty Songs

10. Zombie Zoo
9. It'll All Work Out
8. Saving Grace
7. Runnin Down A Dream
6. Refugee
5. Time To Move On
4. Mary Jane's Last Dance
3. Free Fallin'
2. I Won't Back Down
1. Learning To Fly

Friday, September 14, 2012

Week Two Picks



Like:
JAGUARS +7 over Texans
BENGALS -6.5 over Browns

If forced to choose:
SEAHAWKS +3.5 over Cowboys
Lions +6.5 over NINERS
RAMS +3.5 over Redskins
CHARGERS -6 over Titans
Broncos +3 over FALCONS
Chiefs +3 over BILLS
PANTHERS +2.5 over Saints
Bucs + 7 over GIANTS
PATRIOTS -13.5 over Cardinals
EAGLES -2.5 over Ravens
Vikings -1.5 over COLTS
STEELERS -4.5 over Jets
Bears +5 over Packers X
Raiders -2.5 over DOLPHINS


Lock season record: 0-0
Really like season record: 0-1
Like season record: 1-1
If forced to choose season record: 8-5
All games season record: 9-7

Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Week One Observations

I won't be doing these every week, but Week One always has a lot of immediately digestable football food for thought.

1. Don’t get too excited about this Alfred Morris cat. Roy Helu is a better back – as is just about every other “starting” back in the league.

2. Do get excited about this RGIII cat. It’s all there. It’s already there.

3. Having said that, know that Mike Shanahan has long presided over shocking road wins against more talented teams, especially early in the season. Shanahan teams generally play to the level of their competition. Don't forget they started last season 3-1 and beat the Giants twice.

4. Vote no on Mark Ingram.

5.  Darren Sproles will run the kickoff out unless it’s impossible to do so.

6. The Saints were sloppier than a Joe on Sunday. It remains to be seen if that was an isolated incident or the habitual byproduct of, you know, not having a coaching staff.

7. Tamba Hali’s return gives the Chiefs a 5-spot bonus in the power rankings this week. They missed him desperately against Matt Ryan and the Falcons, whose first punt came with 3:11 left in the game, up 23 points.

8. Atlanta’s big win comes with two caveats: the Chiefs were missing some major pieces on defense and crucial cornerback Brent Grimes was lost for the season. Take the over Monday night against the Broncos.

9. Stevan Ridley’s week one performance will be written off by many fantasy pundits as a variant. His numbers will be dismissed by the “experts” as unlikely to recur thanks to his coach, who loves flipping backs in and out of heavy action in unpredictable and frustrating fashion for fantasy owners. But here’s the thing:

Ridley is really good. He’s much better than Danny Woodhead or anyone else the Patriots have. He can run, he can catch, he’ll play in the red zone. The Patriots are in part known for shuffling backs because they haven’t had an above-average back since Corey Dillon. With New England’s defense also improving, Ridley is going to do a lot of damage this season. The Patriots no longer need to chuck it fifty times a game to win.

10. LeSean McCoy, who had somehow fumbled just four times in his career despite his uniquely outrageous ball-carrying style, coughed one up early against the Browns. It will be interesting to see if McCoy will be asked to change his style should the fumbling continue.

11. Andy Reid, as he’s wont to do, forgot McCoy was on his team the third quarter of the Cleveland game.

12. Brandon Weeden is Colt McCoy in high heels.

13. Blaine Gabbert’s days as a laughingstock are over. Those days now belong to Weeden and Ryan Tannehill.

14. Kevin Kolb is and has always been better than John Skelton. Every stat except for winning percentage backs it up.

15. As mentioned in this space before, Mike Tomlin is one of the league’s worst clock managers. Tomlin has been lucky a blunder has never cost the Steel a high-profile game.

16. Love how Ray Lewis lost the weight drinking vegetable juice and bicycling. Love Ray Lewis.


Power Rankings:


1. New England (2)
2. San Francisco (16)
3. Green Bay (1)
4. Denver (10)
5. Chicago (5)
6. Atlanta (4)
7. Dallas (12)
8. Baltimore (15)
9. Pittsburgh (7)
10. New York Giants (8)
11. Detroit (13)
12. Houston (18)
13. Washington (21)
14. New Orleans (6)
15. Kansas City (9)
16. New York Jets (14) 
17. Philadelphia (3)
18. Tampa Bay (24)
19. Carolina (11)
20. Buffalo (17)
21. Jacksonville (23)
22. San Diego (19)
23. St. Louis (25)
24. Seattle (20)
25. Minnesota (28)
26. Cincinnati (22)
27. Arizona (30)
28. Indianapolis (26)
29. Tennessee (29)
30. Oakland (27)
31. Miami (31)
32. Cleveland (32)

Saturday, September 08, 2012

Week One Picks


Really like:

PACKERS -5 over Niners

Like:

Patriots -4.5 over TITANS
Seahawks -2.5 over CARDINALS

If forced to choose:

Chargers +1.5 over RAIDERS 
RAVENS -7 over Bengals
Redskins +8.5 over SAINTS 
JETS -3 over Bills
BRONCOS -2 over Steelers
Jaguars +3.5 over VIKINGS
Eagles -9.5 over BROWNS 
Colts +9.5 over BEARS
BUCS +2.5 over Panthers
LIONS -8.5 over Rams
GIANTS -3.5 over Cowboys X
Dolphins +12 over TEXANS
Falcons -2.5 over CHIEFS


Lock career record: 5-3 (62.5%)
Really like career record: 25-21-2 (54.3%)
Like career record: 150-137-6 (52.3%)
If forced to choose career record: 358-341-10 (51.2%)
All games career record: 538-502-18 (51.7%)

Wednesday, September 05, 2012

2012 NFL Power Rankings & Predictions


 
Power Rankings (with predicted records)

1.   Green Bay (12-4)
2.     New England (12-4)*
3.     Philadelphia (10-6)*
4.     Atlanta (11-5)*
5.     Chicago (11-5)^
6.     New Orleans (10-6)^
7.     Pittsburgh (9-7)*
8.     New York Giants (8-8)
9.     Kansas City (10-6)*
10. Denver (9-7)^
11. Carolina (9-7)
12. Dallas (8-8)
13. Detroit (8-8)
14. New York Jets (8-8)
15. Baltimore (8-8)
16. San Francisco (8-8)
17. Buffalo (9-7)^
18. Houston (8-8)
19. San Diego (8-8)
20. Seattle (9-7)*
21. Washington (7-9)
22. Cincinnati (7-9)
23. Jacksonville (9-7)*
24. Tampa Bay (7-9)
25. St. Louis (7-9)
26. Indianapolis (6-10)
27. Oakland (5-11)
28. Minnesota (6-10)
29. Tennessee (6-10)
30. Arizona (4-12)
31. Miami (4-12)
32. Cleveland (3-13)

*Division champion
^Wild Card teams


MVP: Aaron Rodgers, Green Bay
Defensive MVP: Clay Matthews, Green Bay
Coach of the Year: Mike Mularkey, Jacksonville
Offensive Rookie of the Year: Russell Wilson, Seattle
Defensive Rookie of the Year: Nick Perry, Green Bay

Playoff Picks:

Wild Card:
Chiefs over Bills
Broncos over Jaguars
Bears over Seahawks
Eagles over Saints

Divisional:
Patriots over Broncos
Steelers over Chiefs
Packers over Bears
Eagles over Falcons

Championship:
Patriots over Steelers
Eagles over Packers

Super Bowl XLVII:
Eagles 38, Patriots 35

Tuesday, September 04, 2012

August Top 15


15. The Civil Wars - Dance Me to the End of Love
14. Superdrag - Take Your Spectre Away
13. Kanye West - All of the Lights
12. Foster The People - Warrant
11. The Rolling Stones - Before They Make Me

10. Norah Jones - Happy Pills
9. The Rolling Stones - Some Girls
8. Jackson Browne - Running On Empty
7. Neil Diamond - We (Early Take)
6. Auditorium - I'm The Enforcer

5. Roger Clyne & the Peacemakers - Green and Dumb
4. Green Day - Oh Love
3. Kanye West - Gorgeous
2. Kanye West - Dark Fantasy 

Song of the Month: Silversun Pickups - Out Of Breath